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There are more mobile subscriptions than TV sets, PCs, landline phones, and cable/satellite subscriptions combined

Mobile is the biggest platform - GSGtelco

Click the chart to see it at full size.
Feel free to use this in your presentations and articles; just credit GSG, Global Nerdy, or Joey deVilla!

The number of mobile subscriptions worldwide is now about the same as the number of people worldwide. According to mobile analyst and pundit Tomi Ahonen, the worldwide mobile subscription rate is at 100%, and as an article of ours from last week pointed out, that rate is even higher in the Americas, Arab states, and Europe, and it’s highest in the CIS (former Soviet republics), where there are 141 subscriptions for every 100 people.

Tomi’s latest article on his blog, Communities Dominate Brands, has a lengthy title — Let’s Do 2014 Numbers for the Mobile Industry: Now we are at 100% Mobile Subscription Penetration Rate Per Capita Globally — but it spells out his thesis quite clearly. In his article, he looks at the size of the mobile market and compares it to numbers we think of a “big” but are dwarfed by mobile: TV, PCs, landlines, and cable/satellite. We’ve taken his numbers and turned them into the graph above (and we’d like to thank him for sharing his data so freely).

The article also looks at other numbers, such as:

  • Money generated by the worldwide mobile industry. It’s currently worth 1.5 trillion this year, with 1.15 trillion of that coming from service revenues).
  • Number of handsets sold: 1.8 billion mobiles sold in 2013, and nearly 1 billion of those were smartphones.
  • Internet users: there are 2.9 billion worldwide, with 42% of them — that’s 1.2 billion — accessing the ‘net via mobile, whether smartphone or feature phone.
  • The digital divide. In the developed world, there are 2.1 billion mobile subscriptions and a 175% mobile penetration rate (or: the average person in the developed world has 1.75 mobile phones). In the developing world, there are 5 billion subscriptions and an 85% mobile penetration rate (or: for every 100 people in the developing world, there are 85 mobile phones).
  • The biggest companies in the world, when you count only their mobile business. The top three are Apple ($112 billion), Samsung ($103 billion), and China Mobile ($91 billion).

If you’d like to see more of Tomi’s insights and be entertained at the same time, watch his presentation, The Platform of the Future?, which he gave at the 2012 NZ Marketing conference in New Zealand in 2012.He rattles off all sorts of interesting observations about mobile technology, and provides statistics aplenty, delivered in his very animated, very amusing style. If you’re looking for some mobility-related lunchtime viewing or want some stimulating “background noise” while you work,  this one’s for you:

this article also appears in the GSG blog

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Mobile news roundup: Two-thirds of emails are opened on mobile devices, Lenovo’s playing mobile “Moneyball”, and Nokia’s new “We’re with Microsoft now” ad

Two-thirds of emails are opened on mobile devices

66 percent of emails on mobile

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According to marketing company Movable Ink, 66% of emails were opened either on a smartphone (47.2%) or tablet (18.5%), with the remaining 34% being opened on a traditional PC. Breaking down the numbers even further, Apple mobile device users make up the majority of email openers:

email platform breakdown

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They also noted that the opening of email on smartphones experiences a peak in the early morning, providing further evidence for the observation that the first thing many people reach for when they wake up is their smartphone. There’s also a noticeable peak in tablet-based email reading at night:

smartphone usage time

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The big take-away from Movable Ink’s observations is that you should assume that any email you send has 2-to-1 odds of being opened on a mobile device. That means you should make sure that any email you send, along with any landing pages that those emails point to, are mobile-friendly.

Lenovo: Playing mobile Moneyball

lenovos-treasure

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Bloomberg Businessweek summarizes Lenovo’s approach succinctly: as “consumer electronics version of the Moneyball strategy: Instead of ballplayers, Lenovo hunts undervalued businesses in sectors others are desperate to escape.” Over the past ten years, they’ve been taking other tech manufacturers’ cast-offs — most notably IBM’s line of desktops and ThinkPads — rebranding them as their own, and turning them into profitable products. With the global PC market slowing down, and the mobile device market heating up, they purchased Motorola from Google for just under $3 billion and are looking to take on Apple and Samsung.

Nokia’s “History in the Making” ad

It has yet to be seen whether Microsoft’s absorbing Nokia will be a significant event in mobile history or a historical footnote, but the Rube Goldberg machine-themed ad commemorating the event is pretty noteworthy:

Brett Doar was the engineer behind the contraption in the ad; you may have seen his work in the ad for the girls’ engineering toy Goldieblox or indie rock band OK Go!’s video for their number This Too Shall Pass. Nokia have a blog post covering the making of this ad.

this article also appears in the GSG blog

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Tech support, meet life support

unplug me - plug me back in

Hey, it works for all my electronics…

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The UN’s latest telecom numbers: 3 billion people on the ‘net in 2014, and 2.3 billion of them get it on their mobiles

3 billion on the net most on mobile broadband
The United Nations’ news center points to a paper by their International Telecommunications Union that says that by the end of 2014, the internet will have:

  • Nearly 3 billion users,
  • Two-thirds of whom — nearly 2 billion — from the developing world, and
  • And most internet users — 2.3 billion of them — will be accessing it via mobile broadband. That 5 times the number from 2008, a mere six years beforehand.

This chart, taken from the ITU’s report, The World in 2014: ICT Facts and Figures [1.7MB PDF], shows the rate of mobile broadband adoption for the past six years and a projection for the end of this one:

mobile broadband subscriptions 2007 - 2014

Click the photo to see the source.

Mobile broadband should used by 84% of the developed world by the end of the year, if the current 11.5% growth rate holds. That growth rate is more than double in the developing world, who should hit 21% penetration by December 31st, 2014.

The average person in the developed world has 1.21 mobile subscriptions. Here are the regions with the highest subscription rates:

regions w most mobile subscriptions 2014

Click the photo to see the source.

Here’s a look at the worldwide mobile subscription numbers over the past 8 years, plus a look forward to the end of this one. We’ll hit the 7 billion subscription mark by the end of the year, and the lion’s share of those numbers will come from the developing world:

mobile subscriptions worldwide

Click the photo to see the source.

For the full story, including numbers on fixed (or “wireline”, as we like to say at GSG) broadband, see the ITU’s report, The World in 2014: ICT Facts and Figures.

this article also appears in the GSG blog

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Old tech of the day: the cassette tape drive

cassette drive

In case you don’t recognize it, it’s a Commodore cassette tape drive, which they called the “Datasette”, which was cheaper than a diskette drive.

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Mobile roundup: The Apple/Samsung smartphone war, switching from deskphones, wireless carriers by the numbers, and smartphone material tradeoffs

In Apple and Samsung’s battle for the mobile market, truth is stranger than fiction

the great smartphone war

Click the photo to read the Vanity Fair article.

Vanity Fair’s Kurt Eichenwald, whom you probably remember from his August 2012 article on Microsoft’s wane in market share and influence under Steve Ballmer, has written a new article titled The Great Smartphone War. In the battle to own the hardware market for the next frontier in computing and communications, the stakes are high, the competition is fierce, the lawsuits are plenty, and sometimes, the story turns weird.

Eichewald’s earlier article showed Microsoft in a very unflattering light, but it seems like a mild rebuke compared to the way Samsung looks in The Great Smartphone War. He paints a picture of a company formerly known for producing second-rate electronics rising to power through tactics such as price-fixing, bribery, patent violations, using countersuits as delaying tactics while they quietly took the market, creating near-faithful duplicates of competitors’ innovations, and in one case, eating evidence before letting Apple’s legal team come into an office to take depositions.

Are headsets the new deskphones?

headsets in deskphones out 2

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In What…No Deskphones? Barbara A. Grothe, the CEO of an independent IT and technology consultancy, writes about her recent experiences deplying Microsoft Lync as the primary voice communication tool at a couple of client offices. The only deskphones deployed were “a few hallway phones and conference star phones with full duplex speakerphones built in”; all other phone calls made or taken at employee desks were done via Lync running on their computers and wireless headsets. The CIOs at the client firms saw that between employees working outside the office and seeing employees using their own mobile phones at their desks, why bother spending money on deskphones?

Grothe’s consultancy didn’t simply give the employees unopened boxes of headsets and leave them on their own to figure them out. Instead, they made sure that each employee received a fully-charged headset, installed their corresponding dongles and software on their computers, and showed each employee how to use the headset during the installation process. They also made sure that the C-level executives were the first to try the Lync/headset combo; “If the CIO and President of this company can conduct business without a deskphone,” writes Grothe, “then the employee felt motivated to follow suit.”

The use of wireless headsets allowed employees to answer incoming calls even when they were up to 30 feet away from their desks. With this convenience came one issue: unlike deskphones, where you can simply pick up the handset and dial, you have to be logged into your machine first in order to place a call using this setup.

Wireless carrier stats: AT&T, Sprint, T-Mobile, Tracfone, and Verizon

wireless carriers by the numbers

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Jackdaw Research’s blog, Beyond Devices, maintains a running tally titled US Wireless Numbers that tracks the following figures released by the major wireless carriers as they report their quarterly results:

  • Subscribers: AT&T has the most, followed in descending order by Verizon, Sprint, T-Mobile, then Tracfone. AT&T also has the largest proportion of wholesale and connected customers.
  • Wireless revenue: Verizon makes the most — over $20 billion a quarter — followed in descending order by AT&T, Sprint, T-Mobile, and Tracfone.
  • Operating margins: Verizon’s is the highest (nearly 40%), followed by AT&T and Tracfone. Sprint and T-Mobile have had the lowest operating margins over the past couple of years, with T-Mobile having recently traded places with Sprint and currently having the lowest (running about slightly below 0%).
  • EBITDA margins: That’s Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization, and from highest to lowest, it’s Verizon at about 45%, followed by AT&T (40%), Sprint (20%), T-Mobile, and Tracfone (both about 15%).
  • Capital intensity: This refers to wireless capital expenditures as a fraction of wireless revenues. Here, the Big Four are within about 8% of each other, all between 10% and 20%, with AT&T spending the largest proportion of their wireless revenue on wireless infrastructure, followed by T-Mobile, Verizon, and Sprint.
  • Net adds: Who’s been adding the most customers lately? It’s T-Mobile, followed by Tracfone, AT&T, Verizon, then Sprint. Sprint is the only carrier who’s been showing a net loss of customers.
  • ARPU: Average Revenue Per User is tricky to report. Verizon doesn’t report ARPU anymore; they report Average Revenue Per Account. T-Mobile reports Average Billings Per User. Changes in the way the carriers are subsidizing handsets will also change how other carriers report their average revenue numbers.
  • Churn: The churn rates of the Big Four are within 1.5% of each other. Sprint has the most at just above 2%, followed by T-Mobile around 1.5%, and AT&T and Verizon are tied at about 1%.
  • Smartphone sales: Even though the data is patchy and incomplete, it’s still obvious that we’re now in the smartphone age. For all Big Four carriers, 90% or more of postpaid sales were for smartphones.

They’ll be updating this page regularly, so visit it each quarter.

Plastic, metal and glass: the upsides and downsides of materials used to build mobile devices

what mobiles are made of

Click the photo to read the article.

AnandTech is my go-to site for solid, detailed, analyses of mobile hardware and software, and here’s one reason: their recent article, Discussion on Material Choices in Mobile, analyzes the pros and cons of plastic, metal, and glass, the materials used to build smartphone bodies.

this article also appears in the GSG blog

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The leap in memory technology from 2005 to 2014

microsd 2005 - 2014

Photo posted by History in Pictures, found via Frank Michlick. Click the photo to see its source.

One of the more interesting products to be announced at the recent Mobile World Congress this year wasn’t a mobile phone, but an accessory: SanDisk’s 128 GB (gigabytes, where a gigabyte is about 1 billion bytes) SDXC card. A mere nine years ago (two years prior to when the entire mobile industry was redefined by the iPhone), 128 MB (megabytes, where a megabyte is about 1 million bytes, one thousandth of a gigabyte) was the bleeding edge for MicroSD-sized memory cards.

Here’s another way to think of this leap in memory technologies:

128 mb sd vs dvd

dvd vs 128 gb sdxc

As of this writing (May 2, 2014), the SanDisk Ultra 128 GB MicroSD card sells at Best Buy for $200. Popping it your SD card-capable mobile device (most Androids and Windows Phone devices) will give it the storage capacity of the current starter model MacBook Air.

That’s a lot of apps, music, video, and who knows what other kinds of data once some smart app developers imagine what’s possible on a mobile device once you give it the drive space formerly reserved for desktop and laptop systems.

this article also appears in the GSG blog