Categories
Uncategorized

IDC Rolls Back Their Crazy Windows Phone Market Share Predictions By a Year

According to Forbes, IDC says that Windows Phone’s market share will edge out iPhone’s and reach almost 20% by 2016.  Here are their predicted numbers:

Table 1: IDC’s Smartphone OS Market Share Predictions (May 2012)

Smartphone OS 2012 Market Share 2016 Market Share 2012 – 2016 CAGR
Android 61.0% 52.9% 9.5%
BlackBerry 6.0% 5.9% 12.1%
iOS 20.5% 19.0% 10.9%
Windows Phone and Windows Mobile 5.2% 19.2% 46.2%
Others 7.2% 3.0% -5.4%

Regular readers of this blog will know that I recently wrote about IDC’s predictions for smartphone market shares that they made back in March 2011. Let’s review them:

Table 2: IDC’s Smartphone OS Market Share Predictions (March 2011)

Operating System Predicted 2011
Market Share
Predicted 2015
Market Share
Android 39.5% 45.4%
BlackBerry 14.9% 13.7%
iOS 15.7% 15.3%
Symbian 20.9% 0.2%
Windows Phone 7 and
Windows Mobile
5.5% 20.9%
Others 3.5% 4.6%

Their predicted numbers for Windows Phone have remained the same; it’s just that they’ve been rolled back one year from 2015 to 2016. Their 2012 predictions give Android and iOS greater market shares than in the 2011 predictions and cut their numbers for BlackBerry’s market share in half.

I still think they’re crazy.

Categories
Uncategorized

Mobile Developer News Roundup for Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Iconoclast Labs pits PhoneGap against RubyMotion! They came up with an idea for a “magic 8-ball on steroids” app that provides its user with conversation starters and makes use of features such as databases, networking and so on. Then they implemented it twice; once with PhoneGap, once with RubyMotion. The winner? Well, it depends.

Ah, Windows Phone, the platform I used to evangelize. I really should see about getting my Samsung Focus replaced (Anthony Bartolo, can you help a brother out?).

There’s news aplenty for Windows Phone and WinRT developers:

Android app development and revenue are growing, says StartApp. 450,000 apps on Google Play with potentially thousands more from other places on 300 million Android devices with 850,000 being added every day.

IDC says that Android shipments will peak this year as mobile shipments slow, but they also predicted that Windows Phone will have at least 20% market share by 2015. An appropriately-sized grain of salt is recommended.

Categories
Uncategorized

Change Your LinkedIn Password Now!

LinkedIn has a lot of ‘splainin’ to do. LinkedIn has been breached and 6.5 million hashed and encrypted LinkedIn user passwords have been posted to a site with requests for help in cracking them.

If you have a LinkedIn account and haven’t done so already, go to LinkedIn and change your password now.

Categories
Uncategorized

A Day in the Life of a Developer Evangelist

“Developer Evangelist”: Not Two Years Old — More Like Three Decades!

Let’s get something that The Next Web’s recent article, A Day in the Life of a Developer Evangelist, got completely wrong — and at the very start of the article, to boot:

In the past two years, the explosion in web technologies and apps has created a new profession: It’s called Developer Evangelism, and it’s seriously awesome.

The “seriously awesome” part is correct. The “two years” part is waaaay off. The title “developer evangelist” has been around since the 1980s when people at Apple first started using it. It was coined by Apple’s Mike Murray, the title was first held by Mike Boich and it was popularized by Guy Kawasaki. Since then, other people have taken up the title, most notably Robert Scoble, who was a tech evangelist at Microsoft in the early 2000s (Microsoft created a whole division in 2001 called Developer & Platform Evangelism, for which I worked from late 2008 through early 2011).

The Evangelists

Christian Heilmann, developer evangelist at Mozilla.

Once past that error, the article hits its stride with interviews with the following developer evangelists:

 Guess Who’s Also a Developer Evangelist!

In fact, I’m a developer evangelist who’ll soon be looking for his next gig.  I’m on summer vacation at the moment, getting a much-needed vacation time in, but at the same time, I’m also learning a little iOS development. If you’d like to read more about what I think of my line of work, take a look at these articles:

And if you want to hear how I got into developer evangelism, watch this video of my presentation at CUSEC 2009:

I may be taking it (relatively) easy right now, but I’m keeping my eyes open. If you’re looking for the world’s only rock-and-roll accordion-playing tech evangelist, check out my resume or LinkedIn profile, then drop me a line!

Categories
Uncategorized

Mobile Developer News Roundup for Monday, June 4, 2012

How do top Android developers QA test their apps? There are so many different Android phones out there, many with different specs, screen resolutions and OS versions (see the pie chart above, showing the distribution of Android phones for users of Red Robot Labs’ apps) that’s it’s practically impossible to test your app on every device.

In this TechCrunch article, Kim-Mai Cutler talks to some Android developers — Red Robot Labs, Pocket Gems, Storm8 and Animoca — about how they deal. The first three use some variation on the 80/20 rule, testing on about 30 or 40 devices that are representative of the Android devices used by their target markets, while Animoca test on hundreds because much of their user base is in Asia, where there’s a plethora of cheap Android-based but not necessarily Android-certified mobile devices.

The article includes a slideshow and video from Pocket Gems’ Jeff DeCew and Arjun Dayal about how they deal with developing for such a wide array of Android devices, and I’ve included them below.

The seven deadly sins, as explained in the blog Indexed. Click the image to see the original.

The seven deadly sins of mobile app design. The article goes into more detail, but quickly listed, they are:

  1. Kitchen sink: trying to cram too much into your design.
  2. Inconsistency: inconsistency of design, that is, which includes deviating unnecessarily from the OS’ UI guidelines.
  3. Overdesigning: “extra visual flourishes, meaningless elements, and the shouldn’t-we-have-something-there images”.
  4. Lack of speed: remember, this is a device that favours saving power over raw processing capability.
  5. Verbiage: brevity is the soul of apps.
  6. Non-standard interaction: unless there’s a really good reason for it, this is not a good idea.
  7. Help and FAQ-itis: “Adding a Help is a white flag in the usability war: you’ve surrendered, you can’t win, and you give up”.

The Walmart Garden Smartphone. Jean-Louis Gassée sets up an interesting fiction that Walmart’s Silicon Valley-based Walmart Labs is creating an Android-based smartphone for Walmart in order to make Walmart “the Walmart of smartphones”. He says that the idea is ridiculous for a number of reasons, and for the same reasons, so are the rumours about Facebook making their own phone.

It’s an interesting thought experiment and a good argument, but I still think that it doesn’t completely invalidate the Facebook phone rumours. Walmart isn’t a an online platform while Facebook is, and that makes a pairing with a device specifically designed to access online platforms a more sensible idea.

New mobile devices! Among them:

Categories
Uncategorized

Mobile Developer News Roundup for Sunday, June 3, 2012

Android 4.0, a.k.a. “Ice Cream Sandwich”, is now on slightly more than 7% of the Android devices out there. Android 2.3.3 is still the dominant version out there, accounting for about two-thirds of all Android devices, and its share is actually growing.

While Ice Cream Sandwich’s growth represents a doubling of share since early April, MG “ParisLemon” Siegler astutely notes that it took 7 months to hit the 7% mark. He also notes that the Google I/O conference, where they’re expected to announce the next version is coming soon, and:

Google will announce the next version of their OS before 10% of their users are on the last version. Think about how insane that is for a second.

Compare this to the growth rate of iOS 5, which surpassed a 20% adoption rate in 5 days by Chitika’s measure.

Higher Hanging Fruit: iMore’s list of features that iOS 6 could borrow from other mobile OSs. An interesting think piece on some great ideas already in other mobile operating systems that Apple could borrow for iOS 6, which will probably be covered at the upcoming WWDC.

Why is Todd Bishop struggling with Windows 8? Todd Bishop says it feels like a forced mashup between desktop and tablet. ComputerWorld has also expressed the same sentiment.

Maintenance and upkeep in action!

Maintaining an app is critical to its overall success. This argument argues that maintaining and upkeeping your apps is as important as their launch.

Categories
Uncategorized

Joey deVilla’s 2012 Resume

Click image above to download my resume (107KB PDF).

My summer vacation continues nicely, but that doesn’t mean I don’t have an eye out for my next opportunity. I’ve spent a little time fielding calls from recruiters and other interested parties while still enjoying my time off, marvelling at junk food, hitting flea markets and going to the beach.

I’ve been getting requests for my resume, and when that happens, I say “my LinkedIn profile is my resume”. As a living document within LinkedIn’s web application, it’s always up-to-date, easily found either via Google or LinkedIn’s own search feature and accessible anywhere and on any device that can view web pages. LinkedIn profiles have a reputation of being more honest than a paper resume; as public documents, it’s much harder to lie, exaggerate or otherwise “fudge” since it’s all too easy for people to call you out.

There are those who still would prefer a regular-format resume from me, so I’ve created one, and you can download it here (107KB PDF). It’s in PDF format, so it should look good no matter whether you’re viewing it on a computer, tablet or mobile phone or printing it out. It has the same content as my LinkedIn profile; I simply copied the text from my LinkedIn profile and pasted it into a resume document and then formatted it a little.

If you’re either wondering if I’m the right guy for your company or if you’re just plain curious, feel free to take a look at my resume.

The article also appears in The Adventures of Accordion Guy in the 21st Century.